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Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
52%Probability
- 1h change
- –
- 24h change
- 0%
- 1w change
- ▲1%
- Closes
Other outcomes in this event
| Outcome | Probability | 24h change |
|---|---|---|
| Benjamin Netanyahu | 30% | – |
| Naftali Bennett | 13% | ▲2% |
| Avigdor Lieberman | 3% | – |
| Ofer Winter | 1% | 0% |
| Itamar Ben Gvir | <1% | – |
| Yair Golan | <1% | 0% |
| Yossi Cohen | <1% | – |
| Yoaz Hendel | <1% | 0% |
| Amir Ohana | <1% | – |
| Yair Lapid | <1% | 0% |
| Gilad Erdan | <1% | – |
| Nir Barkat | <1% | – |
Resolution criteria
Legislative elections are schedule to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed and sworn in as Prime Minister of Israel following the 2026 parliamentary election. If an election is called early, this market will immediately resolve to the individual who is officially appointed and sworn in after that election.
To count for resolution, the individual must be formally sworn in. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market.
If no such Prime Minister is sworn in by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Israel; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.