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Will Frank Chikane be the next mayor of Johannesburg?
15%Probability
- 1h change
- 0%
- 24h change
- ▲1%
- 1w change
- ▼4%
- Closes
Other outcomes in this event
| Outcome | Probability | 24h change |
|---|---|---|
| Helen Zille | 66% | ▼1% |
| Lukhona Mnguni | 7% | ▲1% |
| Loyiso Masuku | 4% | 0% |
| Herman Mashaba | 3% | 0% |
| Dada Morero | 1% | 0% |
| Kenny Kunene | 1% | 0% |
| David Makhura | <1% | – |
Resolution criteria
Municipal elections are currently scheduled to be held in South Africa on November 4, 2026.
This market will resolve to the first individual who officially assumes the role of Mayor of Johannesburg following the 2026 South African municipal elections.
A qualifying individual must be elected mayor by the Johannesburg City Council. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of South Africa, including the Electoral Commission of South Africa (https://elections.org.za); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.