Home › Elections › Argentina Presidential Election Winner
Will Facundo Manes win the 2027 Argentina presidential election?
<1%Probability
- 1h change
- –
- 24h change
- –
- 1w change
- –
- Closes
Other outcomes in this event
| Outcome | Probability | 24h change |
|---|---|---|
| Javier Milei | 56% | ▲1% |
| Axel Kicillof | 33% | – |
| Sergio Massa | 7% | 0% |
| Patricia Bullrich | 3% | – |
| Myriam Bregman | 2% | 0% |
| Dante Gebel | 2% | 0% |
| Victoria Villarruel | 1% | – |
| Juan Grabois | 1% | – |
| Mauricio Macri | 1% | – |
| Esteban Bullrich | <1% | – |
| Juan Schiaretti | <1% | – |
Resolution criteria
A presidential election scheduled to be held in Argentina on October 24, 2027.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the next Argentinian Presidential election.
This market includes any potential second round.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by Argentina government sources, including the Cámara Nacional Electoral (https://www.electoral.gob.ar/nuevo/index.php) and the Dirección Nacional Electoral (https://www.argentina.gob.ar/dine).