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Will Chris Van Hollen be the next Senate Majority Leader?
1%Probability
- 1h change
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- 24h change
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- 1w change
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- Closes
Other outcomes in this event
| Outcome | Probability | 24h change |
|---|---|---|
| Chuck Schumer | 41% | ▲1% |
| John Thune | 27% | ▲1% |
| Brian Schatz | 10% | – |
| Patty Murray | 6% | 0% |
| Cory Booker | 4% | 0% |
| Tom Cotton | 3% | ▼1% |
| Steve Daines | 2% | – |
| John Barrasso | 1% | 0% |
| Amy Klobuchar | 1% | 0% |
| Mark Kelly | <1% | – |
| Lindsey Graham Resolved | 0% | ▼1% |
Resolution criteria
This market will resolve according to the individual who is announced as the next Senate Majority Leader after the November 3, 2026, U.S. General Election.
This market will remain open until January 3, 2027, at which point it will resolve based on the first announcement of the next Senate Majority Leader from whichever party holds the majority in the U.S. Senate.
If no Majority is established and a leader is not announced by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.