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Will Al Lawson win the Tallahassee mayoral election?
<1%Probability
- 1h change
- –
- 24h change
- –
- 1w change
- 0%
- Closes
Other outcomes in this event
| Outcome | Probability | 24h change |
|---|---|---|
| Loranne Ausley | 51% | – |
| Jeremy Matlow | 40% | – |
| Daryl Parks | 7% | ▲3% |
| Michael Foust | <1% | – |
Resolution criteria
The 2026 Tallahassee mayoral election will be held on August 18, 2026, to elect the mayor of Tallahassee, Florida. If no candidate receives a majority of the vote, a runoff election will be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Tallahassee as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by April 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the City of Tallahassee or the State of Florida.