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Will Abby McKibben win the next Huon Valley mayoral election?
34%Probability
- 1h change
- –
- 24h change
- ▲4%
- 1w change
- ▲3%
- Closes
Other outcomes in this event
| Outcome | Probability | 24h change |
|---|---|---|
| Paul Gibson | 33% | ▼1% |
| Mark Jessop | 26% | ▲4% |
| Marshall Callaghan | 1% | – |
| Toby Thorpe | 1% | 0% |
| Sally Doyle | <1% | 0% |
Resolution criteria
Local government elections are scheduled to be held across Tasmania on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of the Huon Valley Council area as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as declared by the Tasmanian Electoral Commission (https://www.tec.tas.gov.au/).