Who will be the next Prime Minister of Australia after the next election?
6 outcomes · Closes
| Outcome | Probability | 24h change |
|---|---|---|
| Anthony Albanese | 42% | ▼5% |
| Pauline Hanson | 23% | – |
| Angus Taylor | 16% | – |
| Jim Chalmers | 6% | – |
| Robbie Katter | 1% | – |
| Larissa Waters | 1% | – |
Resolution criteria
Legislative elections are schedule to be held in Australia by September 23, 2028.
This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed and sworn in as Prime Minister of Australia following the 2028 parliamentary election. If an election is called early, this market will immediately resolve to the individual who is officially appointed and sworn in after that election.
To count for resolution, the individual must be formally sworn in. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market.
If no such Prime Minister is sworn in by June 30, 2029, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Australia however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.