Republican VP Nominee 2028
35 outcomes · Closes
| Outcome | Probability | 24h change |
|---|---|---|
| Marco Rubio | 30% | – |
| Marjorie Taylor Greene | 6% | 0% |
| J.D. Vance | 6% | – |
| Thomas Massie | 5% | – |
| Donald Trump | 4% | ▼1% |
| Josh Hawley | 3% | 0% |
| Donald Trump Jr. | 3% | 0% |
| Kristi Noem | 3% | 0% |
| Joe Kent | 2% | 0% |
| Sarah Huckabee Sanders | 2% | 0% |
| Ted Cruz | 2% | – |
| Elise Stefanik | 2% | 0% |
| Tucker Carlson | 2% | 0% |
| Byron Donalds | 2% | ▲1% |
| Ivanka Trump | 2% | 0% |
| Vivek Ramaswamy | 2% | 0% |
| Nikki Haley | 1% | 0% |
| Brian Kemp | 1% | – |
| Eric Trump | 1% | 0% |
| Glenn Youngkin | 1% | – |
| Robert F. Kennedy Jr. | 1% | 0% |
| Elon Musk | 1% | 0% |
| Kim Kardashian | 1% | – |
| Pete Hegseth | 1% | 0% |
| Ron DeSantis | 1% | 0% |
| Katie Britt | 1% | – |
| Tulsi Gabbard | 1% | 0% |
| Rand Paul | 1% | ▼1% |
| Greg Abbott | 1% | – |
| Erika Kirk | 1% | 0% |
| John Thune | 1% | ▼1% |
| Mike Pence | 1% | – |
| Matt Gaetz | 1% | 0% |
| Tom Brady | <1% | – |
| Steve Bannon | <1% | – |
Resolution criteria
This market will resolve according to the first individual to be formally nominated by the Republican Party for Vice President of the United States in the 2028 presidential election cycle who accepts the nomination.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official GOP sources, including https://www.gop.com.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.