Which parties will be in the Israeli government?

Wed, Jun 30 · in 270 days

Market-implied probability: What do these percentages mean?

They are market-implied probabilities: how likely each outcome is, as priced by prediction markets. They are not polls and not our forecast, and they are refreshed every few minutes.

How to read these numbers →

58% chance Yashar

▼5 pts in 7 days