Taipei Mayor Election Winner

Sat, Nov 28 · in 54 days

Market-implied probability: What do these percentages mean?

They are market-implied probabilities: how likely each outcome is, as priced by prediction markets. They are not polls and not our forecast, and they are refreshed every few minutes.

How to read these numbers →

72% chance to win Chiang Wan-an

▼10 pts in 7 days

Probability

50%
Aug 16Oct 4

29% chance to win Puma Shen

▲10 pts in 7 days

Probability

50%
Aug 15Oct 4