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Accueil › États-Unis › Qui annoncera sa candidature à la présidence avant 2028 ?

Ted Cruz annoncera-t-il sa candidature à la présidence avant 2028 ?

65 %Probabilité

Variation 1 h
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Variation 24 h
▼1 %
Variation 7 j
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Clôture

Autres issues de cet événement

IssueProbabilitéVariation 24 h
Andy Beshear89 %0 %
J.D. Vance66 %▼3 %
Andrew Yang66 %–
Gavin Newsom65 %▲1 %
Jon Ossoff61 %▲4 %
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez55 %▲1 %
Kamala Harris50 %▲2 %
Marco Rubio35 %–
Josh Hawley30 %▼12 %
Hunter Biden26 %–
John Fetterman26 %–
Gina Raimondo21 %–

Les 29 issues

Critères de résolution (texte original, en anglais)

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual officially announces that they are running for U.S. President in the 2028 United States presidential election by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An announcement by the listed individual will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they actually filed a nomination to run, or whether they actually file a nomination to run in the future.

A qualifying announcement must be explicit and unambiguous. Conditional statements, or statements that are clearly sarcastic, made in jest, or immediately clarified as not being genuine will not count.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by the listed individual (ex: via speech, social media, etc.), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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