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¿Ganará Marco Rubio la nominación republicana a las presidenciales de 2028?
16 %Probabilidad
- Cambio 1 h
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- Cambio 24 h
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- Cambio 7 d
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- Cierre
Otras opciones de este evento
| Opción | Probabilidad | Cambio 24 h |
|---|---|---|
| J.D. Vance | 51 % | – |
| Tucker Carlson | 3 % | 0 % |
| Ron DeSantis | 3 % | 0 % |
| Donald Trump | 2 % | – |
| Ted Cruz | 2 % | – |
| Donald Trump Jr. | 2 % | – |
| Ivanka Trump | 1 % | – |
| Thomas Massie | 1 % | 0 % |
| Tulsi Gabbard | <1 % | 0 % |
| Glenn Youngkin | <1 % | – |
| Pete Hegseth | <1 % | – |
| Josh Hawley | <1 % | – |
Criterios de resolución (texto original, en inglés)
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Republican Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican Party sources.
Any replacement of the Republican nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.