Mayor of Prague

Sat, Oct 10 · in 6 days

Market-implied probability: What do these percentages mean?

They are market-implied probabilities: how likely each outcome is, as priced by prediction markets. They are not polls and not our forecast, and they are refreshed every few minutes.

How to read these numbers →

59% chance to win Tomáš Portlík

▲11 pts in 7 days

Probability

50%
Sep 1Oct 4

40% chance to win Petr Hlaváček

▼6 pts in 7 days

Probability

50%
Sep 2Oct 4