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Pete Hegseth vai conquistar a nomeação presidencial republicana de 2028?
<1%Probabilidade
- Variação 1 h
- –
- Variação 24 h
- 0%
- Variação 7 d
- –
- Encerramento
Outros desfechos deste evento
| Desfecho | Probabilidade | Variação 24 h |
|---|---|---|
| J.D. Vance | 51% | – |
| Marco Rubio | 16% | 0% |
| Tucker Carlson | 3% | 0% |
| Ron DeSantis | 3% | 0% |
| Donald Trump | 2% | – |
| Ted Cruz | 2% | – |
| Donald Trump Jr. | 2% | – |
| Ivanka Trump | 1% | – |
| Thomas Massie | 1% | 0% |
| Tulsi Gabbard | <1% | 0% |
| Glenn Youngkin | <1% | – |
| Josh Hawley | <1% | – |
Critérios de resolução (texto original, em inglês)
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Republican Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican Party sources.
Any replacement of the Republican nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.