Início › Estados Unidos › Próximo líder da maioria no Senado?
John Thune vai ser o próximo líder da maioria no Senado?
27%Probabilidade
- Variação 1 h
- ▲1%
- Variação 24 h
- ▲1%
- Variação 7 d
- ▼14%
- Encerramento
Outros desfechos deste evento
| Desfecho | Probabilidade | Variação 24 h |
|---|---|---|
| Chuck Schumer | 41% | ▲1% |
| Brian Schatz | 10% | 0% |
| Patty Murray | 5% | ▼1% |
| Cory Booker | 4% | 0% |
| Tom Cotton | 3% | ▼2% |
| Steve Daines | 2% | – |
| John Barrasso | 1% | 0% |
| Amy Klobuchar | 1% | 0% |
| Mark Kelly | <1% | – |
Critérios de resolução (texto original, em inglês)
This market will resolve according to the individual who is announced as the next Senate Majority Leader after the November 3, 2026, U.S. General Election.
This market will remain open until January 3, 2027, at which point it will resolve based on the first announcement of the next Senate Majority Leader from whichever party holds the majority in the U.S. Senate.
If no Majority is established and a leader is not announced by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.