Início › Europa › Referendo de setembro na Suíça: o que será aprovado?
A iniciativa "Salvaguardar a neutralidade suíça" (iniciativa pela neutralidade) vai ser aprovada na votação popular de 27 de setembro de 2026 na Suíça?
2%Probabilidade
- Variação 1 h
- ▼1%
- Variação 24 h
- ▲1%
- Variação 7 d
- –
- Encerramento
Outros desfechos deste evento
| Desfecho | Probabilidade | Variação 24 h |
|---|---|---|
| Iniciativa alimentar | 1% | 0% |
Critérios de resolução (texto original, em inglês)
As of market creation, two referenda are scheduled to be held in Switzerland on September 27, 2026:
- Issue 1: Popular initiative ‘Safeguarding Swiss neutrality (neutrality initiative)’
- Issue 2: Popular initiative ‘For safe food – through strengthening sustainable domestic production, increasing plant-based foods and ensuring clean drinking water (food initiative)’
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed referendum is approved under the applicable legal threshold in the specified popular vote. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
This market will resolve to “Yes” if either the popular initiative or, where applicable, the federal counter-proposal is approved under the applicable legal threshold, regardless of any tie-breaker vote.
If the referendum is officially rescheduled, the same rule applies to the new ballot and its corresponding deadlines. This market will resolve to “No” if, for any reason, the results of the respective vote are not known definitively by the date the subsequent Referendum in Switzerland is scheduled to be held.
The resolution source will be based on a consensus of credible reporting. In the event of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the official certified referendum results published by Swiss government authorities, such as the Swiss Federal Chancellery and the information portal provided by the Swiss authorities (https://www.ch.ch/en/votes-and-elections/). Subsequent litigation, administrative challenges, or failure of any post-approval implementation steps will not be considered.