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Quem vai anunciar uma candidatura presidencial antes de 2027?

71 desfechos · Encerramento

DesfechoProbabilidadeVariação 24 h
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez15%▲5%
Gavin Newsom14%–
Pete Buttigieg13%▼1%
Raphael Warnock11%▲3%
Cory Booker8%0%
Ron DeSantis8%0%
Stephen A. Smith8%–
Rahm Emanuel7%0%
Glenn Youngkin7%–
J.D. Vance7%0%
Don Lemon7%–
J.B. Pritzker7%–
Matt Gaetz6%–
Robert F. Kennedy Jr.6%0%
Kamala Harris6%0%
Hunter Biden6%–
George Clooney6%–
Gretchen Whitmer6%–
John Thune6%▲2%
Marjorie Taylor Greene6%–
Nikki Haley5%0%
Donald Trump5%0%
Josh Shapiro5%0%
Tim Walz5%▲3%
Ted Cruz5%▼1%
Mark Kelly5%▲1%
Beto O’Rourke5%–
Oprah Winfrey5%–
Elise Stefanik5%0%
Vivek Ramaswamy5%–
Brian Kemp5%▼1%
Rand Paul5%–
Jon Stewart4%0%
Greg Abbott vai anunciar uma candidatura presidencial antes de 2027?4%0%
Gina Raimondo4%0%
Kristi Noem4%–
Liz Cheney4%0%
Donald Trump Jr.4%0%
Steve Bannon4%–
Marco Rubio4%–
Tucker Carlson4%–
Tom Brady4%0%
Erika Kirk4%0%
Ivanka Trump4%0%
Wes Moore3%0%
Zohran Mamdani3%–
John Fetterman3%0%
Michelle Obama3%▼1%
Elon Musk3%–
Jon Ossoff3%–
Barack Obama3%0%
Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson3%0%
LeBron James2%–
Phil Murphy2%▼2%
Mike Pence2%0%
Katie Britt2%▲1%
MrBeast2%–
Bernie Sanders2%0%
Jared Polis2%0%
Candace Owens2%0%
Kim Kardashian2%0%
Josh Hawley2%0%
Tulsi Gabbard2%–
Andrew Yang2%▲1%
Roy Cooper2%0%
Sarah Huckabee Sanders2%0%
Mark Cuban1%▲1%
Andy Beshear1%0%
Byron Donalds1%0%
Chelsea Clinton1%–
Hillary Clinton1%–
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez · Últimos 7 dias · mín. 8% · máx. 34%

Critérios de resolução (texto original, em inglês)

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual officially announces that they are running for U.S. President in the 2028 United States presidential election by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An announcement by the listed individual will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they actually filed a nomination to run, or whether they actually file a nomination to run in the future.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by the listed individual (ex: via speech, social media, etc.), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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