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Behaalt de New Zealand First Party de meeste zetels in het Nieuw-Zeelandse Huis van Afgevaardigden bij de Nieuw-Zeelandse parlementsverkiezingen van 2026?

1%Waarschijnlijkheid

Verandering 1 u
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Verandering 24 u
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Verandering 7 d
0%
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Andere uitkomsten van deze gebeurtenis

UitkomstWaarschijnlijkheidVerandering 24 u
Labour Party56%–
National Party45%–
ACT New Zealand<1%–
Green Party<1%–
Te Pāti Māori<1%–

Alle 6 uitkomsten

Beslissingscriteria (oorspronkelijke tekst, Engels)

A general election is scheduled to be held in New Zealand on November 7, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives as a result of this election.

If the results of this election are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid party list votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed name appears first in alphabetical order.

This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the New Zealand House of Representatives in this election.

This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by New Zealand government sources such as the New Zealand Electoral Commission (https://elections.nz/).

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