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Tim Walz annuncerà la candidatura alla presidenza prima del 2027?
5%Probabilità
- Variazione 1 h
- 0%
- Variazione 24 h
- ▲4%
- Variazione 7 g
- ▲4%
- Chiusura
Altri esiti di questo evento
| Esito | Probabilità | Variazione 24 h |
|---|---|---|
| Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez | 15% | ▲5% |
| Gavin Newsom | 14% | – |
| Pete Buttigieg | 13% | ▲2% |
| Raphael Warnock | 10% | ▲3% |
| Stephen A. Smith | 8% | – |
| Ron DeSantis | 7% | 0% |
| Glenn Youngkin | 7% | – |
| J.D. Vance | 7% | 0% |
| Cory Booker | 7% | 0% |
| Rahm Emanuel | 7% | – |
| Don Lemon | 7% | – |
| J.B. Pritzker | 7% | – |
Criteri di risoluzione (testo originale, in inglese)
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual officially announces that they are running for U.S. President in the 2028 United States presidential election by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement by the listed individual will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they actually filed a nomination to run, or whether they actually file a nomination to run in the future.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by the listed individual (ex: via speech, social media, etc.), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.