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François Hollande otterrà la candidatura del Partito Socialista alle elezioni presidenziali francesi 2027?
1%Probabilità
- Variazione 1 h
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- Variazione 24 h
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- Variazione 7 g
- 0%
- Chiusura
Altri esiti di questo evento
| Esito | Probabilità | Variazione 24 h |
|---|---|---|
| Raphael Glucksmann | 78% | – |
| Olivier Faure | 18% | – |
| Segolene Royal | 3% | 0% |
| Jérôme Guedj | 1% | – |
| Boris Vallaud | 1% | 0% |
| Philippe Brun | 1% | 0% |
| Carole Delga | <1% | 0% |
| Karim Bouamrane | <1% | 0% |
| Bernard Cazeneuve | <1% | – |
Criteri di risoluzione (testo originale, in inglese)
The Socialist Party of France (Parti socialiste, PS) is expected to hold a primary to select their nominee for the 2027 French presidential elections in October 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Socialist Party of France (Parti socialiste, PS) to contest the 2027 French presidential elections.
If no nominee is announced by April 17, 2027, 11:59PM Paris time, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official PS sources, including https://parti-socialiste.fr/.
Any replacement of the nominee before the 2027 French presidential elections will not change the resolution of the market.