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Raphaël Glucksmann remportera-t-il l'investiture du Parti socialiste pour l'élection présidentielle française de 2027 ?
78 %Probabilité
- Variation 1 h
- –
- Variation 24 h
- –
- Variation 7 j
- ▲4 %
- Clôture
Autres issues de cet événement
| Issue | Probabilité | Variation 24 h |
|---|---|---|
| Olivier Faure | 18 % | – |
| Ségolène Royal | 3 % | 0 % |
| Jérôme Guedj | 1 % | 0 % |
| Boris Vallaud | 1 % | 0 % |
| François Hollande | 1 % | 0 % |
| Philippe Brun | <1 % | 0 % |
| Carole Delga | <1 % | 0 % |
| Karim Bouamrane | <1 % | – |
| Bernard Cazeneuve | <1 % | – |
Critères de résolution (texte original, en anglais)
The Socialist Party of France (Parti socialiste, PS) is expected to hold a primary to select their nominee for the 2027 French presidential elections in October 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Socialist Party of France (Parti socialiste, PS) to contest the 2027 French presidential elections.
If no nominee is announced by April 17, 2027, 11:59PM Paris time, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official PS sources, including https://parti-socialiste.fr/.
Any replacement of the nominee before the 2027 French presidential elections will not change the resolution of the market.