Probabilités en temps réel

Accueil › Chine › Vainqueur de l'élection municipale de New Taipei

Lee Shu-chuan remportera-t-il la prochaine élection municipale de New Taipei ?

71 %Probabilité

Variation 1 h
–
Variation 24 h
▼4 %
Variation 7 j
▲1 %
Clôture
7 derniers jours · min 69 % · max 76 %

Autres issues de cet événement

IssueProbabilitéVariation 24 h
Su Chiao-hui30 %▲4 %
Huang Kuo-chang<1 %–

Les 3 issues

Critères de résolution (texte original, en anglais)

Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of New Taipei as a result of this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder Mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).

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