Probabilités en temps réel

Accueil › Europe › Quels partis obtiendront au moins un siège lors des prochaines élections à la Douma d'État russe ?

Le Parti écologique russe « Les Verts » obtiendra-t-il au moins un siège lors des prochaines élections à la Douma d'État russe ?

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Variation 1 h
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Variation 24 h
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Variation 7 j
▼3 %
Clôture

Ce marché est clôturé. Les chiffres ci-dessus sont son état final.

Autres issues de cet événement

IssueProbabilitéVariation 24 h
Iabloko Résolu0 %0 %
Parti russe des retraités pour la justice sociale Résolu0 %0 %

Les 3 issues

Critères de résolution (texte original, en anglais)

Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed party receives at least one seat in the Russian State Duma as a result of the 2026 Russian parliamentary election. Otherwise, that market will resolve to “No”.

Seats will be counted only where the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation attributes them to the named party. Seats attributed to another party or electoral designation will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If a named party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, seats officially attributed to that successor party will count.

If the results of this election are not definitively known by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, each market will resolve to “No”.

These markets will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, they will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.

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