Vainqueur de l'élection présidentielle en Argentine
11 issues · Clôture
| Issue | Probabilité | Variation 24 h |
|---|---|---|
| Javier Milei | 56 % | ▲1 % |
| Axel Kicillof | 33 % | – |
| Sergio Massa | 7 % | 0 % |
| Myriam Bregman | 2 % | 0 % |
| Dante Gebel | 2 % | 0 % |
| Victoria Villarruel | 1 % | 0 % |
| Juan Grabois | 1 % | 0 % |
| Mauricio Macri | <1 % | 0 % |
| Esteban Bullrich | <1 % | – |
| Facundo Manes | <1 % | – |
| Juan Schiaretti | <1 % | – |
Critères de résolution (texte original, en anglais)
A presidential election scheduled to be held in Argentina on October 24, 2027.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the next Argentinian Presidential election.
This market includes any potential second round.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by Argentina government sources, including the Cámara Nacional Electoral (https://www.electoral.gob.ar/nuevo/index.php) and the Dirección Nacional Electoral (https://www.argentina.gob.ar/dine).