Probabilités en temps réel

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Vainqueur de l'élection partielle de Holborn and St Pancras

4 issues · Clôture

IssueProbabilitéVariation 24 h
Sagal Abdi-Wali87 %–
Zack Polanski13 %▼1 %
Andrew Feinstein<1 %–
Georgia Gould<1 %–

Critères de résolution (texte original, en anglais)

A by-election for the United Kingdom parliamentary constituency of Holborn and St Pancras is expected to be held in 2026 following the announced resignation of incumbent Sir Keir Starmer.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the Holborn and St Pancras parliamentary by-election.

If the election results are not known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Camden Council (https://www.camden.gov.uk/).

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