Probabilités en temps réel

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Vainqueur de l'élection municipale de Huon Valley

4 issues · Clôture

IssueProbabilitéVariation 24 h
Abby McKibben34 %▲4 %
Paul Gibson33 %▼1 %
Toby Thorpe1 %0 %
Sally Doyle<1 %0 %

Critères de résolution (texte original, en anglais)

Local government elections are scheduled to be held across Tasmania on October 27, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of the Huon Valley Council area as a result of this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as declared by the Tasmanian Electoral Commission (https://www.tec.tas.gov.au/).

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