Prochain président du gouvernement espagnol ?
16 issues · Clôture
| Issue | Probabilité | Variation 24 h |
|---|---|---|
| Alberto Núñez Feijóo | 79 % | – |
| Pedro Sánchez | 13 % | 0 % |
| Santiago Abascal | 5 % | 0 % |
| Isabel Díaz Ayuso | 3 % | ▼1 % |
| Yolanda Díaz | 1 % | – |
| Carlos Cuerpo | <1 % | – |
| Aitor Esteban | <1 % | – |
| Borja Sémper | <1 % | – |
| Carles Puigdemont | <1 % | – |
| Cuca Gamarra | <1 % | – |
| Ernest Urtasun | <1 % | – |
| Ester Muñoz | <1 % | – |
| María Jesús Montero | <1 % | – |
| Miguel Tellado | <1 % | – |
| Óscar Puente | <1 % | – |
| Pepa Millán | <1 % | – |
Critères de résolution (texte original, en anglais)
This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Prime Minister of Spain by March 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET.
To count for resolution, the individual must receive a vote of confidence from the Congress of Deputies and be formally sworn-in, resulting in the official formation of a new government. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister who does not receive a parliamentary vote of confidence will not count toward the resolution of this market.
If no such Prime Minister takes office by March 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Spain; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.