Probabilités en temps réel

Accueil › Élections

Prochain premier ministre du Québec

7 issues · Clôture

IssueProbabilitéVariation 24 h
Paul St-Pierre Plamondon94 %▲1 %
Christine Fréchette4 %0 %
Charles Milliard2 %0 %
Bernard Drainville<1 %–
Éric Duhaime<1 %–
Ruba Ghazal<1 %–
Sol Zanetti<1 %–
Paul St-Pierre Plamondon · 7 derniers jours · min 80 % · max 95 %

Critères de résolution (texte original, en anglais)

The 2026 Quebec general election is scheduled to be held no later than October 5, 2026.

This market will resolve to the individual who is formally appointed as Premier of Quebec as a result of the specified elections.

To count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed as Premier following the specified elections. Any interim or caretaker head of government will not count toward the resolution of this market.

If no such Premier is appointed by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Quebec; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Intégrer ce widget

Collez ce code dans un article ou une page. Le widget se met à jour tout seul : la probabilité implicite du marché avant le vote, en direct le soir de l’élection, puis le résultat officiel.

Aperçu