Probabilités en temps réel

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Prochain Premier ministre de Serbie ?

10 issues · Clôture

IssueProbabilitéVariation 24 h
Aleksandar Vučić63 %▲6 %
Ilija Srdanović20 %▼3 %
Vladan Đokić4 %0 %
Stefan Krkobabić2 %0 %
Ana Brnabić1 %–
Dragan Đilas1 %0 %
Đuro Macut<1 %–
Miloš Vučević<1 %0 %
Branimir Jovanović<1 %–
Ivica Dačić<1 %–
Aleksandar Vučić · 7 derniers jours · min 49 % · max 63 %

Critères de résolution (texte original, en anglais)

This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Prime Minister of Serbia by June 30, 2028, 11:59 PM ET.

To count for resolution, the individual must be elected by the National Assembly and be formally sworn-in, resulting in the official formation of a new government. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister who is not elected by the National Assembly will not count toward the resolution of this market.

If no such Prime Minister takes office by June 30, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official information from the Serbian government.

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