Inicio › Europa › ¿Próximo presidente del Gobierno de España?
¿Será María Jesús Montero la próxima presidenta del Gobierno de España?
<1 %Probabilidad
- Cambio 1 h
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- Cambio 24 h
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- Cambio 7 d
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- Cierre
Otras opciones de este evento
| Opción | Probabilidad | Cambio 24 h |
|---|---|---|
| Alberto Núñez Feijóo | 79 % | – |
| Pedro Sánchez | 14 % | 0 % |
| Santiago Abascal | 5 % | – |
| Isabel Díaz Ayuso | 4 % | 0 % |
| Yolanda Díaz | 1 % | – |
| Carlos Cuerpo | <1 % | – |
| Aitor Esteban | <1 % | – |
| Borja Sémper | <1 % | – |
| Carles Puigdemont | <1 % | – |
| Cuca Gamarra | <1 % | – |
| Ernest Urtasun | <1 % | – |
| Ester Muñoz | <1 % | – |
Criterios de resolución (texto original, en inglés)
This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Prime Minister of Spain by March 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET.
To count for resolution, the individual must receive a vote of confidence from the Congress of Deputies and be formally sworn-in, resulting in the official formation of a new government. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister who does not receive a parliamentary vote of confidence will not count toward the resolution of this market.
If no such Prime Minister takes office by March 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Spain; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.