Probabilidades en tiempo real

Inicio › Elecciones › Primera vuelta de las presidenciales de Brasil: primer puesto en el Distrito Federal

¿Será Flavio Bolsonaro el más votado en el Distrito Federal en las próximas presidenciales de Brasil?

92 %Probabilidad

Cambio 1 h
▲1 %
Cambio 24 h
▲8 %
Cambio 7 d
▲1 %
Cierre
Últimos 7 días · mín. 79 % · máx. 92 %

Otras opciones de este evento

OpciónProbabilidadCambio 24 h
Lula9 %▼8 %
Pablo Marçal<1 %–

Las 3 opciones

Criterios de resolución (texto original, en inglés)

A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Federal District, Brazil on October 4, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Federal District.

Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Federal District. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).

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