Inicio › Elecciones › ¿Ganador de las elecciones legislativas de Nueva Zelanda?
¿Será el Partido Verde el partido con más escaños en la Cámara de Representantes de Nueva Zelanda en las elecciones legislativas de 2026?
<1 %Probabilidad
- Cambio 1 h
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- Cambio 24 h
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- Cambio 7 d
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- Cierre
Otras opciones de este evento
| Opción | Probabilidad | Cambio 24 h |
|---|---|---|
| Partido Laborista | 56 % | – |
| Partido Nacional | 45 % | – |
| Partido Nueva Zelanda Primero | 1 % | – |
| ACT New Zealand | <1 % | – |
| Te Pāti Māori | <1 % | – |
Criterios de resolución (texto original, en inglés)
A general election is scheduled to be held in New Zealand on November 7, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid party list votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed name appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the New Zealand House of Representatives in this election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by New Zealand government sources such as the New Zealand Electoral Commission (https://elections.nz/).