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¿Será Carlo Calenda el próximo primer ministro de Italia?
<1 %Probabilidad
- Cambio 1 h
- –
- Cambio 24 h
- 0 %
- Cambio 7 d
- 0 %
- Cierre
Otras opciones de este evento
| Opción | Probabilidad | Cambio 24 h |
|---|---|---|
| Giorgia Meloni | 53 % | ▼1 % |
| Elly Schlein | 15 % | ▲1 % |
| Giuseppe Conte | 13 % | – |
| Roberto Vannacci | 9 % | 0 % |
| Silvia Salis | 7 % | 0 % |
| Mario Draghi | 1 % | 0 % |
| Matteo Salvini | 1 % | 0 % |
| Angelo Bonelli | 1 % | 0 % |
| Matteo Renzi | 1 % | – |
| Antonio Tajani | <1 % | – |
| Guido Crosetto | <1 % | 0 % |
Criterios de resolución (texto original, en inglés)
This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Prime Minister of Italy by December 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET.
To count for resolution, the individual must be officially appointed and sworn in as Prime Minister of Italy. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market.
If no such Prime Minister takes office by December 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Italy; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.