Probabilidades en tiempo real

Inicio › Europa › ¿Qué partidos obtendrán al menos un escaño en las próximas elecciones a la Duma Estatal rusa?

¿Obtendrá el Partido Ecologista Ruso «Los Verdes» al menos un escaño en las próximas elecciones a la Duma Estatal rusa?

0 %Probabilidad

Cambio 1 h
–
Cambio 24 h
–
Cambio 7 d
▼3 %
Cierre

Este mercado ha cerrado. Las cifras de arriba son su estado final.

Otras opciones de este evento

OpciónProbabilidadCambio 24 h
Yábloko Resuelto0 %0 %
Partido Ruso de los Pensionistas por la Justicia Social Resuelto0 %0 %

Las 3 opciones

Criterios de resolución (texto original, en inglés)

Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed party receives at least one seat in the Russian State Duma as a result of the 2026 Russian parliamentary election. Otherwise, that market will resolve to “No”.

Seats will be counted only where the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation attributes them to the named party. Seats attributed to another party or electoral designation will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If a named party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, seats officially attributed to that successor party will count.

If the results of this election are not definitively known by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, each market will resolve to “No”.

These markets will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, they will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.

Insertar este widget

Pega este código en un artículo o una página. El widget se actualiza solo: la probabilidad implícita en el mercado antes de la votación, en directo la noche electoral y después el resultado oficial.

Vista previa