Inicio › Elecciones › Ganador de las elecciones a la alcaldía de Lima
¿Ganará Elizabeth María del Rosario León Chinchay las próximas elecciones a la alcaldía de Lima?
<1 %Probabilidad
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- Cambio 7 d
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- Cierre
Otras opciones de este evento
| Opción | Probabilidad | Cambio 24 h |
|---|---|---|
| Rafael López Aliaga | 74 % | ▲2 % |
| Carlos Ricardo Bruce Montes de Oca | 14 % | ▲1 % |
| Samuel Marcos Daza Taype | 5 % | 0 % |
| Francis James Allison Oyague | 3 % | ▼1 % |
| Daniel Belizario Urresti Elera | 3 % | ▼1 % |
| Ricardo Pablo Belmont Cassinelli | 1 % | ▼2 % |
| Susel Ana María Paredes Piqué | 1 % | ▼1 % |
| Santiago Rosendo Abarca León | <1 % | 0 % |
| Yehude Simón Munaro | <1 % | – |
| Carlos Alberto Tejada Noriega | <1 % | – |
| Edgardo Renán De Pomar Vizcarra | <1 % | – |
| Flor de María Hurtado Valdez | <1 % | – |
Criterios de resolución (texto original, en inglés)
The 2026 Lima, Peru mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of Lima as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the Peruvian government, including the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE, https://jne.gob.pe) and the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE, https://www.onpe.gob.pe/).