Αρχική › Εκλογές › Νικητής των βουλευτικών εκλογών στη Νέα Ζηλανδία;
Θα κερδίσει το Εθνικό Κόμμα τις περισσότερες έδρες στη Βουλή των Αντιπροσώπων της Νέας Ζηλανδίας στις βουλευτικές εκλογές του 2026;
45%Πιθανότητα
- Μεταβολή 1 ώρας
- –
- Μεταβολή 24 ωρών
- –
- Μεταβολή 7 ημερών
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- Λήξη
Άλλες εκβάσεις αυτού του γεγονότος
| Έκβαση | Πιθανότητα | Μεταβολή 24 ωρών |
|---|---|---|
| Εργατικό Κόμμα | 56% | – |
| Κόμμα New Zealand First | 1% | – |
| Κόμμα των Πρασίνων | <1% | – |
| ACT New Zealand | <1% | – |
| Te Pāti Māori (Κόμμα των Μαορί) | <1% | – |
Κριτήρια επίλυσης (πρωτότυπο, στα αγγλικά)
A general election is scheduled to be held in New Zealand on November 7, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid party list votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed name appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the New Zealand House of Representatives in this election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by New Zealand government sources such as the New Zealand Electoral Commission (https://elections.nz/).