Start › USA › Wer kündigt vor 2027 eine Präsidentschaftskandidatur an?
Kündigt Kamala Harris vor 2027 eine Präsidentschaftskandidatur an?
5 %Wahrscheinlichkeit
- Änderung 1 h
- 0 %
- Änderung 24 h
- –
- Änderung 7 T
- ▼1 %
- Endet
Weitere Ausgänge dieses Ereignisses
| Ausgang | Wahrscheinlichkeit | Änderung 24 h |
|---|---|---|
| Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez | 15 % | ▲5 % |
| Gavin Newsom | 14 % | – |
| Pete Buttigieg | 13 % | ▲2 % |
| Raphael Warnock | 10 % | ▲3 % |
| Stephen A. Smith | 8 % | – |
| Glenn Youngkin | 7 % | – |
| J.D. Vance | 7 % | 0 % |
| Ron DeSantis | 7 % | 0 % |
| Rahm Emanuel | 7 % | – |
| Cory Booker | 7 % | ▼1 % |
| Don Lemon | 7 % | – |
| J.B. Pritzker | 7 % | – |
Auflösungskriterien (Originaltext, Englisch)
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual officially announces that they are running for U.S. President in the 2028 United States presidential election by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement by the listed individual will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they actually filed a nomination to run, or whether they actually file a nomination to run in the future.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by the listed individual (ex: via speech, social media, etc.), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.