Úvod › Volby › Prezidentské volby v Brazílii: vítěz prvního kola
Získá Lula nejvíce hlasů v prvním kole prezidentských voleb v Brazílii 2026?
73 %Pravděpodobnost
- Změna za 1 h
- –
- Změna za 24 h
- ▼1 %
- Změna za 7 dní
- –
- Uzavírá se
Další možnosti v této události
| Možnost | Pravděpodobnost | Změna za 24 h |
|---|---|---|
| Flavio Bolsonaro | 26 % | ▼1 % |
| Pablo Marçal | <1 % | – |
| Renan Santos | <1 % | – |
| Ronaldo Caiado | <1 % | – |
| Spisovatel Augusto Cury | <1 % | – |
Kritéria rozhodnutí (originál v angličtině)
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).